An item is manufactured by three machines A, B, and C. Out of the total number of items manufactured during a specified period, 50% are manufactured on A, 30% on B, and 20% on C. 2% of the items produced on A and 2% of items produced on B are defective, and 3% of these produced on C are defective. All the items are stored at one godown. One item is drawn at random and is found to be defective. What is the probability that it was manufactured on machine A?

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7 months ago

This is a Long Answer Type Questions as classified in NCERT Exemplar

Sol:

LetE1:theeventthattheitemismanufacturedonmachineAE2:theeventthattheitemismanufacturedonmachineBE3:theeventthattheitemismanufacturedonmachineCLetHbetheeventthattheselecteditemisdefective. Using Bayes'TheormP(E1)=50100,P(E2)=30100andP(E3)=20100P(H/E1)=2100,P(H/E2)=2100andP(H/E3)=3100P(E1/H)=P(E1).P(H/E1)P(E1).P(H/E1)+P(E2).P(H/E2)+P(E3).P(H/E3)=50100*210050100*2100+30100*2100+20100*3100=100100+60+60=100220=1022=511Hence,therequiredprobabilityis511.

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Maths NCERT Exemplar Solutions Class 12th Chapter Thirteen 2025

Maths NCERT Exemplar Solutions Class 12th Chapter Thirteen 2025

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