36. A bag contains 4 red and 4 black balls, another bag contains 2 red and 6 black balls. One of the two bags is selected at random and a ball is drawn from the bag which is found to be red. Find the probability that the ball is drawn from the first bag.
36. A bag contains 4 red and 4 black balls, another bag contains 2 red and 6 black balls. One of the two bags is selected at random and a ball is drawn from the bag which is found to be red. Find the probability that the ball is drawn from the first bag.
36. Let be the event of selecting first bag
be the event of selecting second bag
Let be the event of getting a red ball
(drawing a red ball from first bag)
(drawing a red ball from second bag)
Then, probability of drawing a ball from the first bag which is red, is given by Baye's theorem,
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P (2 obtained on even numbered toss) = k (let)
P (2) =
P (
If x = 0, y = 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
If x = 1, y = 7, 8, 9, 10
If x = 2, y = 8, 9, 10
If x = 3, y = 9, 10
If x = 4, y = 10
If x = 5, y = no possible value
Total possible ways = (5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1) * 2
= 30
Required probability
P (2W and 2B) = P (2B, 6W) × P (2W and 2B)
+ P (3B, 5W) × P (2W and 2B)
+ P (4B, 4W) × P (2W and 2B)
+ P (5B, 3W) × P (2W and 2B)
+ P (6B, 2W) × P (2W and 2B)
(15 + 30 + 36 + 30 + 15)
Let probability of tail is
⇒ Probability of getting head =
∴ Probability of getting 2 heads and 1 tail
ax2 + bx + c = 0
D = b2 – 4ac
D = 0
b2 – 4ac = 0
b2 = 4ac
(i) AC = 1, b = 2 (1, 2, 1) is one way
(ii) AC = 4, b = 4
(iii) AC = 9, b = 6, a = 3, c = 3 is one way
1 + 3 + 1 = 5 way
Required probability =
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