40. There are three coins. One is a two headed coin, another is a biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the time and third is an unbiased coin. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, it shows head, what is the probability that it was the two headed coin?
40. There are three coins. One is a two headed coin, another is a biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the time and third is an unbiased coin. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, it shows head, what is the probability that it was the two headed coin?
40. Let, event of choosing headed coin
event of choosing biased coin
event of choosing unbiased coin
Let be the event that shows head,
(coin shows heads, given that it is a headed coin)
(coin showing up head, given that it is biased coin)
(coin showing head, given that it is unbiased coin)
The p
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P (2 obtained on even numbered toss) = k (let)
P (2) =
P (
If x = 0, y = 6, 7, 8, 9, 10
If x = 1, y = 7, 8, 9, 10
If x = 2, y = 8, 9, 10
If x = 3, y = 9, 10
If x = 4, y = 10
If x = 5, y = no possible value
Total possible ways = (5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1) * 2
= 30
Required probability
P (2W and 2B) = P (2B, 6W) × P (2W and 2B)
+ P (3B, 5W) × P (2W and 2B)
+ P (4B, 4W) × P (2W and 2B)
+ P (5B, 3W) × P (2W and 2B)
+ P (6B, 2W) × P (2W and 2B)
(15 + 30 + 36 + 30 + 15)
Let probability of tail is
⇒ Probability of getting head =
∴ Probability of getting 2 heads and 1 tail
ax2 + bx + c = 0
D = b2 – 4ac
D = 0
b2 – 4ac = 0
b2 = 4ac
(i) AC = 1, b = 2 (1, 2, 1) is one way
(ii) AC = 4, b = 4
(iii) AC = 9, b = 6, a = 3, c = 3 is one way
1 + 3 + 1 = 5 way
Required probability =
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