Ask & Answer Question

Probability Ncert Solutions Maths class 12th Maths Class 12th Probability

40. There are three coins. One is a two headed coin, another is a biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the time and third is an unbiased coin. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, it shows head, what is the probability that it was the two headed coin?

2 Views | Posted 4 months ago

Asked by Shiksha User

1 Answer

Answered by

alok kumar singh | Contributor-Level 10

4 months ago

40. Let, $E_{1} :$ event of choosing $Q$ headed coin

$E_{2} :$ event of choosing biased coin

$E_{3} :$ event of choosing unbiased coin

$P (E_{1}) = P (E_{2}) = P (E_{3}) = \frac{1}{3}$

Let $A$ be the event that shows head,

$P (A / E_{1}) = P$ (coin shows heads, given that it is a headed coin) $= 1$

$P (A / E_{2}) = P$ (coin showing up head, given that it is biased coin) $= \frac{75}{100} = \frac{3}{4}$

$P (A / E_{3}) = P$ (coin showing head, given that it is unbiased coin) $= \frac{1}{2}$

The probability that the coin is two headed, given that it shows heads, is given by $P (E_{1} / A)$

Using Baye’s theorem,

$P (E_{1} / A) = \frac{P (E_{1}) . P (A / E_{1})}{P (E_{1}) . P (A / E_{1}) + P (E_{2}) . P (A / E_{2}) + P (E_{3}) . P (A / E_{3})}$

$= \frac{\frac{1}{3} \times 1}{\frac{1}{3} \times 1 + \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{3}{4} + \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{1}{2}}$

$= \frac{\frac{1}{3}}{\frac{1}{3} + \frac{1}{4} + \frac{1}{6}}$

$= \frac{\frac{1}{3}}{\frac{4 + 3 + 2}{12}} = \frac{\frac{1}{3}}{\frac{9}{12}} = \frac{1}{3} \times \frac{12}{9} = \frac{4}{9}$

0 Upvotes 0 Downvotes

Similar Questions for you

Let a die rolled till 2 is obtained. The probability that 2 obtained on even numbered toss is equal to

alok kumar singh

P (2 obtained on even numbered toss) = k (let)

P (2) = $\frac{1}{6}$

P ( $\bar{2}$ )= $\frac{5}{6}$

$k = \frac{5}{6} \times \frac{1}{6} + {(\frac{5}{6})}^{3} \times \frac{1}{6} + {(\frac{5}{6})}^{5} \times \frac{1}{6} + . . .$

$= \frac{\frac{5}{6} \times \frac{1}{6}}{1 - {(\frac{5}{6})}^{2}}$

$= \frac{5}{11}$

Given set S = {0, 1, 2, 3, ….., 10}. If a random ordered pair (x, y) of elements of S is chosen, then find probability that |x – y| > 5

alok kumar singh

If x = 0, y = 6, 7, 8, 9, 10

If x = 1, y = 7, 8, 9, 10

If x = 2, y = 8, 9, 10

If x = 3, y = 9, 10

If x = 4, y = 10

If x = 5, y = no possible value

Total possible ways = (5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1) * 2

= 30

Required probability $= \frac{30}{11 * 11} = \frac{30}{121}$

A bag contains 8 balls (black and white). If four balls are chosen without replacement then 2W and 2B are found then the probability that number of white and black balls are same in bag is equal to

alok kumar singh

P (2W and 2B) = P (2B, 6W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (3B, 5W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (4B, 4W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (5B, 3W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (6B, 2W) × P (2W and 2B)

(15 + 30 + 36 + 30 + 15)

$= \frac{36}{126}$

$= \frac{18}{63}$

$= \frac{6}{21}$

$= \frac{2}{7}$

A coin is biased such that head has two chances than tails, what is the probability of getting 2 heads and 1 tail?

alok kumar singh

Let probability of tail is $\frac{1}{3}$

⇒ Probability of getting head = $\frac{2}{3}$

∴ Probability of getting 2 heads and 1 tail

$= (\frac{2}{3} \times \frac{2}{3} \times \frac{1}{3}) \times 3$

$= \frac{4}{27} \times 3$

$= \frac{4}{9}$

The coefficients a, b and c of the quadratic equation, ax² + bx + c = 0 are obtained by throwing a dice three times. The probability that this equation has equal roots is:

Vishal Baghel

ax² + bx + c = 0

D = b² – 4ac

D = 0

b² – 4ac = 0

b² = 4ac

(i) AC = 1, b = 2 (1, 2, 1) is one way

(ii) AC = 4, b = 4

$\begin{array}{l} a = 4 c = 1 \\ a = 2 c = 2 \\ a = 1 c = 4 \end{array}} 3 w a y s$

(iii) AC = 9, b = 6, a = 3, c = 3 is one way

1 + 3 + 1 = 5 way

Required probability = $\frac{5}{216}$

Get authentic answers from experts, students and alumni that you won't find anywhere else

On Shiksha, get access to

65k Colleges
1.2k Exams
688k Reviews
1800k Answers

Community GuidelinesUser Points System

QuestionsDiscussionsTags

40. There are three coins. One is a two headed coin, another is a biased coin that comes up heads 75% of the time and third is an unbiased coin. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, it shows head, what is the probability that it was the two headed coin?

1 Answer

Similar Questions for you

Learn more about...

Most viewed information

Most viewed information

Share Your College Life Experience

Didn't find the answer you were looking for?

Need guidance on career and education? Ask our experts

Your Question