45. A manufacturer has three machine operators A, B and C. The first operator A produces 1% defective items, whereas the other two operators B and C produce 5% and 7% defective items respectively. A is on the job for 50% of the time, B on the job for 30% of the time and C on the job for 20% of the time. A defective item is produced, what is the probability that it was produced by A?

7 Views|Posted 8 months ago
Asked by Shiksha User
1 Answer
A
8 months ago

45. Let, E1: event of time consume by A

E2: event of time consume by B

E3: event of time consume by C

P(E1)=50%=50100=12

P(E2)=30%=30100=310

P(E3)=20%=20100=15

Let, A: event of producing the defective item. Therefore,

P(A/E1)=1%=1100

P(A/E2)=5%=5100

P(A/E3)=7%=7100

Therefore, by Baye's theorem,

P(E1/A)= probability that the defective item was produced by A ,

P(E1/A)=P(E1).P(A/E1)P(E1).P(A/E1)+P(E2).P(A/E2)+P(E3).P(A/E3)

=12*110012*1100+310*5100+15*7100

=12*11001100(12+1510+75)=12*11001100(5+15+1410)=123410

=12*1034=534

Thumbs Up IconUpvote Thumbs Down Icon

Similar Questions for you

P (2 obtained on even numbered toss) = k (let)

P (2) = 1 6  

P (  2 ¯ )= 5 6  

k = 5 6 × 1 6 + ( 5 6 ) 3 × 1 6 + ( 5 6 ) 5 × 1 6 + . . .

= 5 6 × 1 6 1 ( 5 6 ) 2

= 5 1 1

...Read more

If x = 0, y = 6, 7, 8, 9, 10

If x = 1, y = 7, 8, 9, 10

If x = 2, y = 8, 9, 10

If x = 3, y = 9, 10

If x = 4, y = 10

If x = 5, y = no possible value

Total possible ways = (5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1) * 2

= 30

Required probability  = 3 0 1 1 * 1 1 = 3 0 1 2 1

...Read more

P (2W and 2B) = P (2B, 6W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (3B, 5W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (4B, 4W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (5B, 3W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (6B, 2W) × P (2W and 2B)

(15 + 30 + 36 + 30 + 15)

           

= 3 6 1 2 6

= 1 8 6 3

= 6 2 1

= 2 7

             

...Read more

Let probability of tail is   1 3

Probability of getting head = 2 3  

Probability of getting 2 heads and 1 tail

= ( 2 3 × 2 3 × 1 3 ) × 3

= 4 2 7 × 3

= 4 9                  

                  &nb

...Read more

ax2 + bx + c = 0

D = b2 – 4ac

D = 0

b2 – 4ac = 0

b2 = 4ac

(i) AC = 1, b = 2 (1, 2, 1) is one way

(ii) AC = 4, b = 4

a = 4 c = 1 a = 2 c = 2 a = 1 c = 4 } 3 w a y s

(iii) AC = 9, b = 6, a = 3, c = 3 is one way

1 + 3 + 1 = 5 way

Required probability = 5 2 1 6   

...Read more

Taking an Exam? Selecting a College?

Get authentic answers from experts, students and alumni that you won't find anywhere else.

On Shiksha, get access to

66K
Colleges
|
1.2K
Exams
|
6.8L
Reviews
|
1.8M
Answers

Learn more about...

Maths Probability 2025

Maths Probability 2025

View Exam Details

Most viewed information

Summary

Share Your College Life Experience

Didn't find the answer you were looking for?

Search from Shiksha's 1 lakh+ Topics

or

Ask Current Students, Alumni & our Experts

Have a question related to your career & education?

or

See what others like you are asking & answering