39. A laboratory blood test is 99% effective in detecting a certain disease when it is, in fact, present. However, the test also yields a false positive result for 0.5% of the healthy person tested (i.e., if a healthy person is tested, then, with probability 0.005, the test will imply he has the disease). If 0.1 percent of the population actually has the disease, what is the probability that a person has the disease given that his test result is positive?

5 Views|Posted 8 months ago
Asked by Shiksha User
1 Answer
A
8 months ago

39. Let, E1: event person has disease

E2: event person has no disease

A: be event that blood test is positive

As E1 and E2 are events which are complementary to each other,

Then, P(E1)+P(E2)=1

P(E2)=1P(E1)

P(E1)=0.1%=0.1100=0.001

 P(E2)=10.001

=0.999

P(A/E1)=P (result is positive given that person has disease) =99%=0.99

P(A/E2)=P (result is positive given that person has no disease) =0.5%=0.005

Now, the probability that per

...Read more

Thumbs Up IconUpvote Thumbs Down Icon

Similar Questions for you

P (2 obtained on even numbered toss) = k (let)

P (2) = 1 6  

P (  2 ¯ )= 5 6  

k = 5 6 × 1 6 + ( 5 6 ) 3 × 1 6 + ( 5 6 ) 5 × 1 6 + . . .

= 5 6 × 1 6 1 ( 5 6 ) 2

= 5 1 1

...Read more

If x = 0, y = 6, 7, 8, 9, 10

If x = 1, y = 7, 8, 9, 10

If x = 2, y = 8, 9, 10

If x = 3, y = 9, 10

If x = 4, y = 10

If x = 5, y = no possible value

Total possible ways = (5 + 4 + 3 + 2 + 1) * 2

= 30

Required probability  = 3 0 1 1 * 1 1 = 3 0 1 2 1

...Read more

P (2W and 2B) = P (2B, 6W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (3B, 5W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (4B, 4W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (5B, 3W) × P (2W and 2B)

+ P (6B, 2W) × P (2W and 2B)

(15 + 30 + 36 + 30 + 15)

           

= 3 6 1 2 6

= 1 8 6 3

= 6 2 1

= 2 7

             

...Read more

Let probability of tail is   1 3

Probability of getting head = 2 3  

Probability of getting 2 heads and 1 tail

= ( 2 3 × 2 3 × 1 3 ) × 3

= 4 2 7 × 3

= 4 9                  

                  &nb

...Read more

ax2 + bx + c = 0

D = b2 – 4ac

D = 0

b2 – 4ac = 0

b2 = 4ac

(i) AC = 1, b = 2 (1, 2, 1) is one way

(ii) AC = 4, b = 4

a = 4 c = 1 a = 2 c = 2 a = 1 c = 4 } 3 w a y s

(iii) AC = 9, b = 6, a = 3, c = 3 is one way

1 + 3 + 1 = 5 way

Required probability = 5 2 1 6   

...Read more

Taking an Exam? Selecting a College?

Get authentic answers from experts, students and alumni that you won't find anywhere else.

On Shiksha, get access to

66K
Colleges
|
1.2K
Exams
|
6.8L
Reviews
|
1.8M
Answers

Learn more about...

Maths Probability 2025

Maths Probability 2025

View Exam Details

Most viewed information

Summary

Share Your College Life Experience

Didn't find the answer you were looking for?

Search from Shiksha's 1 lakh+ Topics

or

Ask Current Students, Alumni & our Experts

Have a question related to your career & education?

or

See what others like you are asking & answering