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Probability Ncert Solutions Maths class 12th Maths Class 12th Probability

92. Bag I contains 3 Red and 4 Black balls and B II contains 4 Red and % Black balls. One ball is transferred from Bag I to bag II and then a ball is drawn from bag II. The ball so drawn is found to be Red in colour. Find the probability that the transferred ball is Black.

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alok kumar singh | Contributor-Level 10

4 months ago

92. Let E₁ = Ball transferred from Bag I to Bag II is red

E₂ = Ball transferred from Bag I to Bag Ii is black

A = Ball drawn from Bag II is red in colour

P (E₁) =3/7 and P (E₂) = 4/7

Let A be the event that the ball drawn is red.

When a red ball is transferred from bag I to II,

P (A | E₁) = 5/10 = 1/2

When a black ball is transferred from bag I to II,

P (A | E₂) = 4/10 = 2/5

$\begin{array}{l} ∴ P (E_{2} | A) = \frac{P (E_{2}) P (A | E_{2})}{P (E_{1}) P (A | E_{1}) + P (E_{2}) P (A | E_{2})} \\ = \frac{\frac{4}{7} \times \frac{2}{5}}{\frac{3}{7} \times \frac{1}{2} + \frac{4}{7} \times \frac{2}{5}} \\ = \frac{16}{31} \end{array}$

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92. Bag I contains 3 Red and 4 Black balls and B II contains 4 Red and % Black balls. One ball is transferred from Bag I to bag II and then a ball is drawn from bag II. The ball so drawn is found to be Red in colour. Find the probability that the transferred ball is Black.

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